|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
still very very very wrong 40/40 isnt near 1/100,000 ..
40/40 is basically impossible |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
I was saying if 10,000 people answered all 40 questions. This is probably very high but whether its 1/100,000 or 1/10,000,000, the EV change for them is less then ten dollars.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
[ QUOTE ]
I was saying if 10,000 people answered all 40 questions. This is probably very high but whether its 1/100,000 or 1/10,000,000, the EV change for them is less then ten dollars. [/ QUOTE ] Assuming 50:50 quesitons and 10000 people each week answering all 5 questions: About 300 will get all 5 right, payout of $30,000. About 1500 will get 4 of 5 right, payout of $75,000. Total PP payout: $105,000...each week for 8 weeks, for a total payout of about $850K, even if nobody hits all 40. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
[ QUOTE ]
still very very very wrong 40/40 isnt near 1/100,000 .. 40/40 is basically impossible [/ QUOTE ] A. He didn't say that. He was trying to compute the odds that someone would get lucky and Party would have to pay the million. Just as the odds of hitting the Lottery is 1 in 50 million (give or take, depending on which Lotto), the odds of somebody hitting it when 10 million play is not 1 in 50 million. B. Ultimately, the question is not answerable. Because we don't know what type of quesions there will be. The first one is far from 50:50. If the are all roughly 70:30 propositions, the odds of 40/40 is one in a million. Not easy, but not impossible. If they are all 50:50 props, then 40/40 is one in a trillion. In that case, ok, impossible. |
|
|