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  #1  
Old 12-12-2005, 01:46 AM
tjh tjh is offline
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Posts: 176
Default TT first hand PUSH !

I am about three seats off of the button, middle late position.

Two players limp.

I look down and see 10 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 10 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Thinking I will give the "double up early or bust out with little time invested" strategy a try, I push.

One fold and then one player calls with 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

My tens hold up and I double up.

Just some supporting evidence for the play. I felt like tens were a decent hand to try this. Not so good that I can play them with confidence on your avarage board but not so bad that a player sensing donkness might call with a worse pair.
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  #2  
Old 12-12-2005, 01:54 AM
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Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]

Just some supporting evidence for the play.

[/ QUOTE ]

This doesnt work in poker, terrible push.
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  #3  
Old 12-12-2005, 01:57 AM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Location: Needham, MA
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Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

This is terrible. 90% of the time you'll pick up the 25 chip blinds. 9% of the time you'll get called by a hand better than yours. And 1% of the time you'll find an idiot like you did.
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  #4  
Old 12-12-2005, 02:07 AM
tjh tjh is offline
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Posts: 176
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]
This is terrible. 90% of the time you'll pick up the 25 chip blinds. 9% of the time you'll get called by a hand better than yours. And 1% of the time you'll find an idiot like you did.

[/ QUOTE ]

And your point is ??
I either bust out and start a new tourney and have a second chance to get a decent return on my money as I have almost no time invested. Or I double up and have twice the chance of winning this one. So therefore even a slight chance that they call with worse hands makes this a positive EV move.

The first couple hands are a special opportunity. Lots of maniac moves before the feeling that "time is invested and we should play seriously" mood sets in.

I think we should consider the first few hands an opportunity for some special strategy. By hand #5 unless I am seeing lots of madness I would NEVER try this. Hand #1 is different.

Take a look at your hand histories.. the first orbit is idiot land.

--
tjh
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  #5  
Old 12-12-2005, 02:09 AM
bigt439 bigt439 is offline
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Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]

Take a look at your hand histories.. the first orbit is idiot land.


[/ QUOTE ]

You're proving this point way better than any other one.
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  #6  
Old 12-12-2005, 02:12 AM
aLOWdAkING aLOWdAkING is offline
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Posts: 102
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

I haven't played the $5+1s for a long time, but that is probably the only level where it will work at.
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  #7  
Old 12-12-2005, 02:33 AM
wiggs73 wiggs73 is offline
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Posts: 183
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]
Or I double up and have twice the chance of winning this one.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[ QUOTE ]
So therefore even a slight chance that they call with worse hands makes this a positive EV move.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.
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  #8  
Old 12-12-2005, 02:36 AM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Needham, MA
Posts: 425
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Or I double up and have twice the chance of winning this one.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[ QUOTE ]
So therefore even a slight chance that they call with worse hands makes this a positive EV move.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[/ QUOTE ]
Actually, that first one is true.....isn't it? Twice the chipEV = twice the chance of winning.
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  #9  
Old 12-12-2005, 05:37 AM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 360
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Or I double up and have twice the chance of winning this one.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[ QUOTE ]
So therefore even a slight chance that they call with worse hands makes this a positive EV move.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[/ QUOTE ]
Actually, that first one is true.....isn't it? Twice the chipEV = twice the chance of winning.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, because chipEV isn't really a good indication anyway; it's something like 1.8x more likely you'll win by ICM, but I think even that is too high.
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  #10  
Old 12-12-2005, 03:45 AM
roundest roundest is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 265
Default Re: TT first hand PUSH !

[ QUOTE ]
And your point is ??
I either bust out and start a new tourney and have a second chance to get a decent return on my money as I have almost no time invested. Or I double up and have twice the chance of winning this one. So therefore even a slight chance that they call with worse hands makes this a positive EV move.


The first couple hands are a special opportunity. Lots of maniac moves before the feeling that "time is invested and we should play seriously" mood sets in.

I think we should consider the first few hands an opportunity for some special strategy. By hand #5 unless I am seeing lots of madness I would NEVER try this. Hand #1 is different.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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