|
|
|
|
#1
12-28-2005, 04:03 PM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: SB folded n/m
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Those stacks are too big to stick it in there on the flop in an unraised pot. You'd be putting in the 4th bet; even real bad players know that means something huge. If you manage to get it allin on the flop you're either way behind or flipping a coin. [/ QUOTE ] I can't give credit to SB for a big hand, so I'm not worried about him. I agree that Hero's fourth bet is a bright neon sign of massive strength. But I still wrestle with the notion that you're quite likely to be ahead against Villain's reasonable range. Such a range for an aggressive player (see the KJ example above) might be AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, KhQh, Ah6h, AJ, AA-JJ, 55, 66, 65: in that spot, you're 63:36 in pot equity terms. There's 600 in the middle, you're facing a 480 bet, and pertinent players each have 2900 behind. As I think about it more, I think I like a call better, with the intention of betting a non-heart turn. [/ QUOTE ] My guess is that given the (reasonable) hand range above, hero is now ahead in pot equity terms after a blank turn. Also, are you accounting for the fact that there are fewer possible comboes of 56, 55, and 66 because of hero's holding? 
|
|
#2
12-28-2005, 06:53 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: SB folded n/m
[ QUOTE ]
Also, are you accounting for the fact that there are fewer possible comboes of 56, 55, and 66 because of hero's holding? [/ QUOTE ] Sheesh, I hope to hell so. I'm using Andrew Prock's PokerStove software: you could knock me over with a feather if it doesn't take account of opponents' cards. This spot is an example of the old win-a-small-one-lose-a-big-one situation, obv.
|
 |
|
|
Hybrid Mode
