Yeah, I turned Trips!

[bluefeet]

i'm trying to keep up [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

...i'm only making the decision to NOT fold on the turn, because i believe i am ahead. and it is a flush draw, that i believe i might be ahead of (or maybe a 2nd-pair bluff). we already have a >t1000 pot. why would i give him the river card? am i to risk losing a pot this size, this early if he is semi-bluffing the flush? if he misses on the river, i'm not getting any more chips.

what assumptions are you making, that make calling the turn bet an option? if i had any reason to believe he had a Q or TT/22, i'm folding to the turn raise.

let me put it another way:
- we know we're NOT calling the turn if we KNEW he had TT or 22
- we know we ARE calling if we KNEW he didn't have TT, 22, or a Q

so if we DO make the call only....we are giving button a chance to pass us on the river, aren't we?

the only other possible turn call is if we KNEW he had a Qx (where X>5), and we stood a good chance to split. if this is what i KNEW, i would fold the turn raise with plenty of chips intact.

don't give up on me here...please reply