Am I betting this river?

JKetzer · #1 08-31-2005, 09:56 PM

I feel like betting here will fold the draws who missed, but it won't fold anyone who's calling down with a K or A. (Well, maybe a K.) I don't know if I can count on these people yet to call with any pair on the river.

PokerStars 0.05/0.10 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, UTG+2 calls, 2 folds, Hero raises, CO calls, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls.

Flop: (9.40 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets, CO calls, Button calls, UTG+2 calls.

Turn: (6.70 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets, CO calls, Button calls, UTG+2 calls.

River: (10.70 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero...

Paxosmotic · #2 08-31-2005, 09:58 PM

Nope, check/fold. I might call if it goes bet fold fold back to you, but I must be closing the action and facing only one bet.

FatMan · #3 08-31-2005, 10:01 PM

You took a shot at it on the flop and go no one to fold. I would have been done on the turn. There are three callers and one of them has a K or an A. If you just had one caller on the river you might bet, but with three the pot is protected.

VoraciousReader · #4 08-31-2005, 10:02 PM

I'm not sure why you bet the turn? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Once the K and the A both fall, I don't think I put anymore money in.

Nightbrace · #5 08-31-2005, 10:08 PM

yep, calling is okay on the flop if you don't suspect a K, but on the turn I would have been out.

JKetzer · #6 08-31-2005, 10:13 PM

Huh. Does anyone else also bet the turn here, or is the consensus that, with three of them, someone has to have me beat?

Paxosmotic · #7 08-31-2005, 10:42 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Huh. Does anyone else also bet the turn here, or is the consensus that, with three of them, someone has to have me beat?

[/ QUOTE ]
I might bet a complete blank, but loose passive people love to peel one off on the flop if they hold an ace. I'm not saying they definitely have an ace, but you've got a better chance of seeing sixth street than winning this hand.

#8 08-31-2005, 10:55 PM

Check/fold the river. I don't see you being good over 10% of the time with 3 others still in the pot.