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  #1  
Old 11-25-2005, 06:53 PM
DMBFan23 DMBFan23 is offline
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Default I always pay off

Party 5/10, opponent is like 25/11 I guess.

I open black AJ UTG, BB defends.

flop Ac 4d 7d, check-bet-call
turn 8s, check-bet-raise

I almost always call down these turn checkraises regardless of board texture if I have TPGK here (GK = 9 or better, in this case). tell me if I'm wrong pls.
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  #2  
Old 11-25-2005, 06:55 PM
mperich mperich is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

I pay off too much here as well. I dunno. Im gonna start folding in spots like this more I think. I just havent been shown as many turn cr bluffs as usual lately.

-Mike
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  #3  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:02 PM
oreogod oreogod is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

thats tough. Its probably a good fold, but Id have to know his intricacies first. Like will he make retarded plays at the pot, or be willing to CR a pair + draw...etc or does he make solid raises that have u drawing for 3 outs at best.

Against just numbers this is tough, but some that do help in PAhud are the Call Continuation Bet and FOld Continuation bests...along with raise turn and Won SD when Raise Turn stats. Over a decent number of hands it can help clear some of these situations up. (on the table I have VPIP, PFR, Tot AF, Went to SD, Attempt to steal, Fold BB to steal and Call/Fold CB).

Still hard to hit the button to muck. Anyway, those numbers I mentioned could help u out.
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  #4  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:07 PM
Surfbullet Surfbullet is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

I call these down and write it off to metagame. If the board were significantly more dangerous i'd consider a fold.

Surf
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  #5  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:10 PM
tolbiny tolbiny is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

dude i basically call down here with no pair top kicker.
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  #6  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:20 PM
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Default Re: I always pay off

[ QUOTE ]
I call these down and write it off to metagame. If the board were significantly more dangerous i'd consider a fold.

Surf

[/ QUOTE ]
That adds up to be a pretty expensive metagame purchase.
I'm not saying I auto-fold (or even fold at all) in spots like this. I usually call too. But here's what happens inside my head:

Flop: *Yay, I hit an ace...time to bet my lock hand*

Turn: *Good card, I still feel pretty safe*....(Our House gets raised).....*WTF!! OK, I could be drawing dead, BUT...I think most likely either I have outs to his two pair or I can be ahead to a margin of error for his bad play...I'll call*

River: *SH!T I missed. But the pot's too big at this point....I only have to be good 1 in XX times....I CALL AGAIN*

(Disappointment sets as villain shows AK or A8 or his set)

*What a fish I am...I KNEW I should've mucked on the turn, but I keep doing this. I wonder if other 2+2ers also do this*

Can anyone relate?
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  #7  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:23 PM
flawless_victory flawless_victory is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

folding here would be absolutely horrible.
this post should be about whether to threebet here, jesus.
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  #8  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:33 PM
scotty34 scotty34 is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

I call this down almost always as well. I certainly get shown A2 or a diamond draw or other crap often enough.
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  #9  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:42 PM
mperich mperich is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

Against a 25/11 in the party 5/10?

-Mike
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  #10  
Old 11-25-2005, 07:53 PM
flawless_victory flawless_victory is offline
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Default Re: I always pay off

yes.
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