AA set, right number of bets?

[baronzeus]

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man i dont think anyone caps that turn without KJ. i check/call the river.

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I looked at my line.. and it's a little weak. I still slow down earlier than the OP did. If I lead the turn I probably don't 3-bet. Given how you played it, I definitely agree with Baron here.

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i would bet the EV of calling down after the turn raise is similar to the EV of 3betting and calling down if capped. - part of the thing is putting in more bets on the turn is less damaging because you have outs to improve.

also, how often you are ahead here depends on your opponent almost entirely. im sure lots of opponents play AQ, TT, QQ etc more aggressively than others.

[kidcolin]

Good point, but keep in mind that the BB likely has a set too, so you need to discount your out. That is unless BB is a total donkey. OP didn't give any info on him. I guess he could have AK there, but a set isn't unlikely based on the action.

Preflop: Doesn't UTG know that he is supposed to fold KJ when it is two bets back to him? MHING. Button had AQ.

[kidcolin]

Some 30/20 guys won't, some will. He was getting 5.5:1 immediate odds.