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#11
11-16-2005, 02:52 AM
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Re: TJ suited....
Ok. I dont play 100 NL but I figured 60 was about a short stack. I still think this play will work better against a big stack, and not as well against this size of a stack.
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#12
11-16-2005, 03:00 AM
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Re: TJ suited....
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Was it you who told me not to make plays on people without reads?? I dont remember...but the Aggro 6max limit player in me likes the play... [/ QUOTE ] yes that was me, but i have 15 outs and i think enough fold equity to make this play work. maybe not... i guess i was just wondering if this play is good at the 100's... [/ QUOTE ] <discalimer: quick calculations, probably wrong> If he folds: +$35.5 If he calls: ((15/45) * 72.5) - ((30/45) * 49) = $24.17-$32.7 = -$8.5 breakeven point: 0 = X*35.5 + (1-X)*-8.5 0 = 35.5X - 8.5 + 8.5X 8.5 = 44X X ~= 19% </disclaimer> Even if my calculations aren't correct he doesn't need to fold very often to make this play a good one.
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