JToff pp 400 - value bet?

[emil3000]

I thought so at the time... but looking back at it I probably should have bet it. It felt like a flop that hit a lot of hands, but of course those hands aren't limps in EP for a tight player.

[creedofhubris]

[ QUOTE ]
have some datamined hands on villain, but haven't played with him before. stats are healthy, like 19/8/3 or so...
i am mostly thinking about river play, flop and turn is fine i think. if someone wants to correct me please do so...

Party Poker Pot-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) converter

Hero ($380)
SB ($170.4)
BB ($365)
UTG ($410.5)
UTG+1 ($525.4)
MP1 ($388)
MP2 ($379.02)
MP3 ($631.85)
CO ($415)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $4, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $18</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls $14.

Flop: ($42) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($42) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $30</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $90</font>, UTG+1 calls $60.

River: ($222) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333"> Hero?

[/ QUOTE ]

Ooops, didn't see that the flop was checked around.

I'm wrong, you have a clear river value bet.

If you're going to bluff raise JTo, you should pretty much autobluff the flop. Since this flop actually hit you pretty hard, all the more reason to bet it.