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#1
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Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
No reads sorry
PokerStars 0.10/0.20 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, SB folds. Flop: (9 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> Hero? My once "premium" hand started to feel pretty weak pretty fast. Suggestions? |
#2
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
Check, call unless it's 2 back to you. I'm not good at math but I know you'd be getting 10:1 with 11:1 gutshot odds with lousy implied odds, so you might even fold if the bet comes from your right and the game's aggressive at all.
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#3
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
yeah plus the fact that its a one card gutshot so I may be 11:1 to split the pot.
Loved the pooh-bah post [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
I am check calling this. The advice to fold is nuts. You have a one card gutshot, but...
A. It is to the nuts. If the card that comes is the King of Spades, then you have a strong redraw if someone did hit a flush. B. You have TWO of the Jacks. The chances of one of three villains having another is very low. I'd be very tempted to bet this due to the small field. I would against two, but the three villains, two overs, and two to the flush make me think that I'm not ahead very often, and the few times I am, the cards calling the bet I am not very far ahead of, minimizing its value. |
#5
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
Check/call, hope for a K or runner flush. Any serious action, and throw your hand away.
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#6
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
[ QUOTE ]
Check/call, hope for a K or runner flush. Any serious action, and throw your hand away. [/ QUOTE ] I'd prefer runner runner K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] But seriously, this is a rough spot. I check and wait to see the action. I'll call one and see the turn, but not two. |
#7
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
[ QUOTE ]
My once "premium" hand started to feel pretty weak pretty fast. Suggestions? [/ QUOTE ] I hate it when that happens. I would probably c-c for one and c-f for two. The only card you can be really happy with is a King and for one bet you basically have odds to draw. Another J could easily give you a powerful second-best hand to someone's straight so proceed with caution if that's what happens. |
#8
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
I probably check/call. I always hate having to check after raising preflop and giving up the lead, but this board is really coordinated with a lot of draws. Not to mention there are obviously 2 overcards to your pair.
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#9
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
Fold. And it's not close.
Your GS is likely for half the pot, subject to redraws and totally transparent. Runner-runner is this hands only hope. And all a screwed. Any turn card that gives you a chance at your BD draws is likely faced with heavy turn action destroying your flop odds. eg. K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J. IMO. Calling is -EV. |
#10
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Re: Pocket Js - 3 straight card flop - help!?
* grunch *
Keeping in mind that this is 0.10/0.20, you did not mention anything about how aggressive the table was, so I will assume LOOSE PASSIVE. I think your opponents could have wide range of hands here. I am not sure if betting is better than checking, so here is my little analysis. Arguments for betting: You may have the best hand vs 3 loose opponents and they will likely call with hands that you can beat such as a Tx, Kx, Jx. So betting has some value. It could also make the rest of the hand easier to play by making it HU vs a very LOOSE Passive opponent against which we could bet/fold this all the way. Not sure that this last reason is valid though. Arguments for checking: It saves us money if we are behind. If we bet and get raised, we have pot odds to continue. So we would rather draw for less. Not so many free cards that can hurt us. Checking allows us to use the action to make better decision, if it goes bet/raise we can save money by folding. * Against more opponents I would be more incline to check and against less I would be more inclined to bet. Here I would check. Also, I am not sure if this reasoning is correct, but I would feel better about betting if I could fold and be done with the hand. But here I think I would have to call the raise, so I prefer checking to make it cheap. |
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