#1
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A pair on the board
I have done the math in my head but doubt my understanding of how to get there. Here is the problem..
Assuming that no one has a matching card, what are the chances the board will pair on the flop? Then what is the chance, if the flop has a pair.. that someone at the table has made a set... and does the number of players at the table make a difference? This came up because yesterday I was plaqued with catching top pair... but facing the flop with a pair... making me lay down my top pair when someone bet hard at the pot. Please explain how you came to your numbers? Thanks, Jack |
#2
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Re: A pair on the board
You might do better moving this post to the probability forum.
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#3
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Re: A pair on the board
for starters, assuming no ne has the matching card to any on the flop, then it's 9/(49-total # hole cards). so the chances do depend on how many people.
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#4
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Re: A pair on the board
Which is why it is crucial to raise pre-flop with big cards to minimize the chances that someone flopped trips.
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