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  #1  
Old 12-01-2005, 11:10 PM
waffle waffle is offline
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Location: Dallas - 2/4 and 3/6
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Default bluff this river?

opponent is 49/15/1.8 over 200h.

raise continuation bet: 5%
call continuation bet: 52%
fold continuation bet: 48%
i know those don't add up to 100% but PAHud is a little buggy with this stat.

regardless of position, opponents, pot size, etc.
bet % of each street when it hasn't been bet yet: 52/68/47

PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: (5 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls.

Turn: (3.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (5.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks,

i thought about popping the turn, but it seemed reckless?
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  #2  
Old 12-01-2005, 11:13 PM
DCWildcat DCWildcat is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

That looks like a good spot to me. Still, the relevancy of that bet if no one else has bet stat is funky if he's first to act.

It's high enough, and his river check is sketchy enough, that I think you'll you'll be good often enough here, getting 6.5 to 1. I like a river bluff.

Best Regards
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  #3  
Old 12-01-2005, 11:16 PM
waffle waffle is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

to clarify, it just means on the turn, whenever he has had the choice of betting or checking, he has chosen bet 68% of the time.
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  #4  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:13 AM
gehrig gehrig is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

just check

hes never folding a pair and hes calling with king high a lot

if you bet and he folded you probably had the best hand anyway
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  #5  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:38 AM
imported_leader imported_leader is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

I would be more interested in WtSD then all this continuation bet stuff. This does look like the type of player you want to be bluffing. The only thing he's folding that you bet is K-high. The pots not that big either. Just check and hope he's was FOS on the turn. BTW, I think he has an A a decent amount here. This is a typical moron, aggressive player spot for it.
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  #6  
Old 12-02-2005, 05:36 AM
waffle waffle is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

results:

<font color="white">i checked, his king high (KT) was good.</font>
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  #7  
Old 12-02-2005, 05:41 AM
imported_leader imported_leader is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

[ QUOTE ]
results:

<font color="white">i checked, his king high (KT) was good.</font>

[/ QUOTE ]
That would make a valuable note.
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  #8  
Old 12-02-2005, 06:04 AM
Lurker4 Lurker4 is offline
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Default Re: bluff this river?

I'm not sure what the continuation bet stats mean exactly, but I probably check river here; he's not folding a pair and your Q-high beats a decent % of his turn semibluffing hands. I'd bet river w/something like 76 here
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