Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-26-2005, 05:36 AM
Blackdirt12 Blackdirt12 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 51
Default Realistic win rate at small stakes?

I've been playing 3-6 recently at my local cardroom and have been averaging 4BB/hr. My sample is pathetic, <200hrs, so I'm quite skeptical at my results. What is a realistic winrate at this level?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-26-2005, 09:13 PM
dogmeat dogmeat is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

A lot of things go into defining a reasonable win rate. If you are asking what an experienced, solid player who has been winning for 2000 hours of live play at 35 hands per hour of $3/$6 limit hold'em with an average table of players that see the flop about 30% of the time................ 1.5 big bets per hour

A nice game with some weaker players and a shuffle machine on the table: 2.5 BB per hour

Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-26-2005, 09:17 PM
ThinkQuick ThinkQuick is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Alberta, Canada
Posts: 97
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

[ QUOTE ]
A lot of things go into defining a reasonable win rate. If you are asking what an experienced, solid player who has been winning for 2000 hours of live play at 35 hands per hour of $3/$6 limit hold'em with an average table of players that see the flop about 30% of the time................ 1.5 big bets per hour

A nice game with some weaker players and a shuffle machine on the table: 2.5 BB per hour

Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I will tell you quite conservatively so that my statement is basically never wrong any time you walk into the B&Ms in Edmonton:
On average in a session, at least 60% of the players see each flop.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-27-2005, 01:08 PM
Blackdirt12 Blackdirt12 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 51
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

My game is probaly atleast 50% to see the flop and every table seems to have two or three(on average) who'll chase any draw down to the river and then fold facing one more big bet.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-10-2005, 09:45 AM
fulltilt fulltilt is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 27
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

what do u mean when u say 1.5 big bets?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-10-2005, 10:04 AM
XChamp XChamp is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 164
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

Oh boy.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-10-2005, 11:43 AM
elmitchbo elmitchbo is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 129
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

[ QUOTE ]
what do u mean when u say 1.5 big bets?

[/ QUOTE ]


bigbet X 1.5......or $6 X 1.5= $9
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-10-2005, 09:02 PM
FredJones888 FredJones888 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 142
Default Re: Realistic win rate at small stakes?

30% seeing the flop in a live 3/6 game is so tight that you should change tables if at all possible. 60% would be closer to the norm. I think 3-4 BB/hr minus dealer tokes is not unrealistic.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:54 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.