#11
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
MehnDaMassah: raises 400 to 600
JohnnyBax: raises 3185 to 3785 and is all-in SheFaLLs: calls 545 and is all-in "She" knows that "Johnny" is pushing over "Mehn" with god knows what, because "Johnny" knows that "Menh" can't possibly call without da-nuts, because "She" is fixin to bust. "She" is looking at 2 live connected cards, ZERO FE, and one shot at getting tripled-up...heads-up! Edit: Poor-fok $25...not that i'd have a clue what these guys might be thinking - plausible i guess |
#12
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
[ QUOTE ]
My original comment was about the small stack's call, the rest seems reasonably normal. Lori [/ QUOTE ] the SS has been playing alot of big buy-in SNGs over the past week on Stars from $225 to $1050. i never really noticed the player before that. Bax, i know is a solid player. |
#13
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
[ QUOTE ]
i typically don't call with 98o after a raise and re-raise in front of me. [/ QUOTE ] I love the 98 play. She figures that there is no way Massah calls with her being so close to being bubbled out. That means she can triple up while only going against one player, a player who is big-stack bullying and may not have much of a hand. If she doesn't call and Massah folds, it's pretty much lights out for her. Of course, considering that Massah didn't fold it didn't quite work out for her as planned but I love the play. |
#14
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
That seems reasonable.
Lori |
#15
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
I think this is a good play. She know 1st in cant call best chance to get back in the tourney
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#16
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
JOhny's raise is a good one. He has original raiser covered and Original raiser know that SS is all but out. Typical play, i dont get it.
SS's call is fine too. Has to figure that 98 are usually live and has to also assume that CO will fold to the reraise. |
#17
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i typically don't call with 98o after a raise and re-raise in front of me. [/ QUOTE ] I love the 98 play. She figures that there is no way Massah calls with her being so close to being bubbled out. That means she can triple up while only going against one player, a player who is big-stack bullying and may not have much of a hand. If she doesn't call and Massah folds, it's pretty much lights out for her. Of course, considering that Massah didn't fold it didn't quite work out for her as planned but I love the play. [/ QUOTE ] yeah, your logic is pretty much what I was thinking the rationale would be. The way the stacks are situated, the small stack has such a small chance of making the money that their best hope is to triple up now, and this is a great time to do so considering they are in the BB and that the original raisor is calling with only a monster. this leaves one/ question in my mind - we "know" that the original raisor is only calling w/ a monster, the raisor presumably knows that too, no? Assuming he knows this, he was baiting Bax w/ the QQ expecting the RR, right? If he wasn't, he would have raised more PF to discourage someone from coming over-the-top, no? given that QQ is far from invincible, and a loss pretty much eliminates the chance at first, this is fairly risky, especially if you tighten Bax's RR standards, though if they were really tight the point of making a bait play is somewhat lost, right? ok, i have a headache [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#18
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
[ QUOTE ]
JOhny's raise is a good one. He has original raiser covered and Original raiser know that SS is all but out. [/ QUOTE ] I actually don't like this re-raise. That kind of play only makes sense to me when a player has enough chips to handle a loss without it being too much of a problem. If Johnny had $1k more in chips it makes sense. As it is, he had the potential to be crippled. Furthermore, Johnny had to acknowlege the possibility that the short stack would call. If so, he may get the original raiser to fold but still lose the pot and triple up the short stack. Finally, he may assume that he wouldn't get called without Massah having the nuts, but I've seen calls in this situation with all kinds of crap (88, AK, AQ etc.). Stupid, yes, but it happens. |
#19
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
If you run this through ICM I get the feeling that the worst mathematical mistake made in this hand was Mehn's not pushing PF, because when 'She' folds he is probably wrong to call this reraise that Johnny's gonna make with one and a half cards.
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#20
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Re: Don\'t understand this ($555)-Stars
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] JOhny's raise is a good one. He has original raiser covered and Original raiser know that SS is all but out. [/ QUOTE ] I actually don't like this re-raise. That kind of play only makes sense to me when a player has enough chips to handle a loss without it being too much of a problem. If Johnny had $1k more in chips it makes sense. As it is, he had the potential to be crippled. Furthermore, Johnny had to acknowlege the possibility that the short stack would call. If so, he may get the original raiser to fold but still lose the pot and triple up the short stack. Finally, he may assume that he wouldn't get called without Massah having the nuts, but I've seen calls in this situation with all kinds of crap (88, AK, AQ etc.). Stupid, yes, but it happens. [/ QUOTE ] BAsically, Massah had the worst hand he should call with here (absent a read). I am not saying its a great play, just that its not too interesting or out of the ordinary. At a lower level, the SS would not call here hoping (wrongly) that Massah would call and get busted. At a higher level of play, players SHOULD all be aware of these concepts and hence you have what unfolded above. Massah has QQ, "i want action" Johny has 2 cards "I can take this away from him because of shorty" She-shorty: "I think Johny is stealing from massah with any two and massah will fold and I can triple up against one player who might be raising with any two." Ironically, the shorty made the best play here. That is, independent of the actual cards. Of course, having QQ PF makes almost any play look sensible besides folding. |
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