plo/8 question

[poet]

i feel like i really let myself get outplayed here. about 3 hands before i 3/4d him when he called me down with no low and a weak straight. (he had 3579). all the way down i had him for a flush draw but didnt want to check on the river and give him a liscense to bluff me. yet the more i think about it i feel like he may have been pushing a low and i made a bad read. in situations like this, should you just suck it up and call expecting to lose yet knowing youll win enough to maybe justify the call? I feel like i did everything right till the river where i really let myself down. any analysis good or bad is appreciated.



***** Hand History for Game 2700286681 *****
$25 PL Omaha Hi/Lo - Monday, September 12, 18:44:11 EDT 2005
Table Table 37135 (Real Money)
Seat 4 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 4: Cog77 ( $54.46 )
Seat 5: Cyph47 ( $11.18 )
Seat 6: tomsnake ( $46.05 )
Seat 10: hero ( $79.48 )
Seat 8: PikAs63 ( $18.90 )
Seat 1: flymanflies ( $23 )
Seat 7: tonto1601 ( $23.50 )
Seat 3: adriaticfish ( $24.40 )
Seat 9: AsAhAdAc ( $25 )
Seat 2: papajo4897 ( $22.65 )
Cyph47 posts small blind [$0.10].
tomsnake posts big blind [$0.25].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to hero [ Qd Ah Ac 3d ]
tonto1601 calls [$0.25].
PikAs63 folds.
hero raises [$1.10].
flymanflies folds.
papajo4897 folds.
adriaticfish folds.
Cog77 calls [$1.10].
Cyph47 folds.
tomsnake calls [$0.85].
tonto1601 calls [$0.85].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3s, 9h, As ]
tomsnake checks.
tonto1601 checks.
>You have options at Table 37161 Table!.
hero bets [$4.30].
>You have options at Table 37161 Table!.
Cog77 calls [$4.30].
tomsnake folds.
tonto1601 folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ Kh ]
hero bets [$12.45].
Cog77 calls [$12.45].
** Dealing River ** [ 2s ]
>You have options at Table 37161 Table!.
hero bets [$15].
Cog77 is all-In [$36.61]
>You have options at Table 36706 Table!.
>You have options at Table 37161 Table!.
hero folds.
Cog77 does not show cards.
Cog77 wins $86.61
payback time =)
Game #2700294101 starts.

[wookie]

I am an O8 novice... but in principle, your call was $21 into an $86 pot - 4 to 1. So, if you think you can scoop 20% of the time, call. If a split was likely, you are still 2 to 1 - so splitting 33% of the time seems to also make the call correct.

The best hand that matches his bets would seem to be AdKs4s5x - he picks up the 2 pair on the turn that justifies calling your pot bet. But how likely is it that he would not raise this pre-flop?

I'm interested in what others think - w

[emptyshell]

The river card was really lousy for you; I think you just have to accept that. Check the river and call only a small bet. There's no need to give him an extra $15.