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  #1  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:27 PM
teddyFBI teddyFBI is offline
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Default Easy Q: how many hands played until BB/100 is reliable??

I'm sure it's an elementary question, but roughly how many hands do I need to play before putting some reliable stock in my BB/100.

I routinely chastise people who draw conclusions based on only 10,000 - 20,000 hands, but the reality is that I'm just talking out of my ass, and don't have any clue about what the 'true' number should be.

Can anyone provide a mathematically-based answer? i.e. maybe with a range of hands-played and their associated confidence intervals?
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  #2  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:39 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
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Default Re: Easy Q: how many hands played until BB/100 is reliable??

Should help
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  #3  
Old 09-12-2005, 12:50 PM
teddyFBI teddyFBI is offline
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Default Re: Easy Q: how many hands played until BB/100 is reliable??

[ QUOTE ]
Should help

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the link -- a little too complicated for me, i found -- is there a quick 'rule of thumb' as far as a threshold for # of hands before judging BB/100 to be reliable?
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Old 09-12-2005, 12:58 PM
meow_meow meow_meow is offline
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Default Re: Easy Q: how many hands played until BB/100 is reliable??

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Should help

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the link -- a little too complicated for me, i found -- is there a quick 'rule of thumb' as far as a threshold for # of hands before judging BB/100 to be reliable?

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem with your question is two-fold. First, you need to define "reliable". Second, the confidence interval of winrate is dependant on two factors - the number of hands played and the standard deviation.
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