Value betting the one-card flush

[Aaron W.]

The game is loose passive. How big must x be to value bet the river?

Would you take a stab on the flop or turn to try to pick up the pot?

Paradise Poker 1/2 Hold'em (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], x[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MP posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP (poster) checks, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (4 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, Button checks.

Turn: (2 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, Button checks.

River: (2 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero ...

Since the game is loose passive Im probably bet/folding any heart except Q+.

[Guruman]

i stab on the most hearts that I'd value bet on the end.

button is the only non-random cards guy in there, so I'd be stabbing with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]+ and calling an mp bet with any heart if the others fold.

I think even in a passive game you'd hear from a broadway heart on the turn occasionally.

here is a formula I just made up, how about x = 5+n where n is the number of players still in.

also, I would not take a stab at this pot with our position

[ QUOTE ]
I think even in a passive game you'd hear from a broadway heart on the turn occasionally.

[/ QUOTE ]

guruman speaks the truth!

[J. Stew]

With two loosies to go, I'd say a nine