Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > Multi-table Tournaments
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-28-2005, 02:14 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default First Post -Right Push?

Live home game. 50 players, $60 entry down to two tables, 20 players left, 14 ITM. BB200. villian is new to the monthly game, seems to be a decent player, not much of a read on him. delt AKo in EP i raise 500, folded to button, villian, who re-raises 1000. folded back to hero. i push. villian has me covered, both around 4000. bad push? thoughts.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-28-2005, 02:25 AM
DWarrior DWarrior is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 85
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

[ QUOTE ]
bad push?

[/ QUOTE ]

No
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-28-2005, 02:36 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

Both around 4000 after the raises? I don't like a push here. You are getting called by hands that you lose to way to often. I call the raise then fire out on the flop no matter what. I think this gives you the best chance to take down some chips without risking your entire stack. You are not quite desperate yet. This might be a bit weak tight, but thats how I would play it.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-28-2005, 02:40 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

i thought of that after i was ai tks
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-28-2005, 03:20 AM
SossMan SossMan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 559
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

I think a push is pretty standard here.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-28-2005, 03:54 AM
ZBTHorton ZBTHorton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 56
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

[ QUOTE ]
I think a push is pretty standard here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-28-2005, 03:56 AM
DWarrior DWarrior is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 85
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

[ QUOTE ]
Live home game. 50 players, $60 entry down to two tables, 20 players left, 14 ITM.

[/ QUOTE ]

isn't that a bit flat, I'd have paid top 5 or 6.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-28-2005, 04:09 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

can you explain your reasoning why the push is standard here?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-28-2005, 08:05 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

Put him on a range of hands that he'll raise to 1000 with. Let's say AQ+, TT+.

The possible hand combinations are:
AQ 12 combinations (3 aces left times 4 queens)
AK 9 combinations (3 aces left times 3 kings left)
TT 6 (4 * 3 / 2)
JJ 6
QQ 6
KK 3 (3 * 2 / 2)
AA 3

That's 45 hand combinations of hands he'll raise to 1000 with.

Let's say pushing will get him to fold AQ and TT. Maybe JJ. Let's say he folds JJ half the time. That's 21/45 he folds.

When he calls with JJ-QQ (9/45) you're about 45% to win.
When he calls with AK (9/45) you chop.
When he calls with KK (3/45) you're about 30% to win.
When he calls with AA (3/45) you're about 7% to win.

So it's clearly +EV to push. Almost half the time he'll fold. When he calls you're in a race/chop situation 75% of the time (18/24). It's only in 6 out of 45 hands that you're in trouble. And only when he has aces (3/45) are you almost certain to lose the hand.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12-29-2005, 01:55 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: First Post -Right Push?

Your calculations seem fine except I don't think its accurate to say that he will fold TT all the time and JJ half the time. Most players will call with these no matter what. Thanks for the insight.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:45 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.