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  #1  
Old 11-18-2005, 12:24 AM
Leptyne Leptyne is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: in the cut
Posts: 174
Default Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)

I failed to include QQ in my earlier hand range.

This just looks and feels like the SB failed to consider that your CB was weak because it was a multi-way pot. Just the kind of mistake a somewhat thinking player might make. Also, a somewhat thinking player has to consider your large bring in and is wondering if you have AK or AKs. Looks like a feeler bet.

My feeling that this is a good spot plus my amount of raise to $225 hasn't changed. I think he folds, but you could have the best hand (doubtful) and you do have some outs (but not many).

I'll be drinking single malt in the penthouse or sleepin' in the street.
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  #2  
Old 11-18-2005, 12:28 AM
BK_ BK_ is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 554
Default Re: Should I bluff? (Ignore my location, please)

i agree with you and think that you will get a fold a decent % of the time if you push. i have made these bluffs lately and they have been successful, but in general i probably dont make this one that often. i find enough slightly better situations and dont want to cross the aggro line. anyway, if i could be assured that he folded 88/99 type hands everytime then sure, since we both put him on that sort of hand a decent % of the time. but he will look you up sometimes i think with that sort of hand. hands like set/2 pair, etc are unlikely but just possible enough to make this a fold for me.

if the pot were a tad bigger you actually would have a higher EV. fold equity might even increase, as its hard for some villians to see you pushing 350+ into a 75 dollar bet with a strong hand.

ive been playing some lately and am loving these sort of turn raise bluffs vs decent players. the best is when you can target a tag player with an obvious 88-JJ hand, and raise the turn all in on a scary 2356 rainbow board. of course it only works if you have been around enough develop a decent image yourself. anyways, i am digressing. despite noone agreeing with your play i think that the thought process is right on.
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