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  #1  
Old 10-24-2004, 05:40 AM
Diracdelta Diracdelta is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Sweden
Posts: 15
Default pocket KK. when \"probable\" set?

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 (poster) checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, Button calls, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP2 folds, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, Button calls, UTG calls.

Turn: (7.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls, Button folds.

River: (9.75 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.75 BB


My question is was it right to call it down, or should i have folded the turn. He probably had the queen when he continued betting after my flop raise.
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  #2  
Old 10-24-2004, 11:18 AM
ncboiler ncboiler is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 202
Default Re: pocket KK. when \"probable\" set?

Is the pot size worth it? You have to win more then 12% of the time to make the turn call. Basically, are you ahead more then 12% of the time if not you are drawing to 2 outs. If you are very sure he has the Q then fold. It all depends on your read.
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  #3  
Old 10-24-2004, 11:23 AM
JoshuaD JoshuaD is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NJ, USA
Posts: 341
Default Re: pocket KK. when \"probable\" set?

I think you can and should lay it down here. It's very likely he's got the Q here. It's not a huge pot, save the bets.
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