#1
|
|||
|
|||
$1-$2 Nut draw on Flop after preflop reraise
Game:
Ultimate Bet $1-2 NL 6-Max 6 Players Hero has everyone covered SB $86 Other players insignificant UTG Folds UTG +1 Limps C/O Limps Hero A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] on the button raises to $10 SB reraises to $22 U+G and c/of fold Hero calls Pot = $50 - rake At this point I put the SB on a big pair or maybe AK, probably AA-JJ, leaning towards KK or maybe AK (because I have an A and a Q, and is somewhat aggressive for JJ OOP). As far as reads go, this guy just joined the game. Flop J95 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] SB goes all in for $64 You have Nut flush draw and with strong potential your A is an out. Range of hands at this point is AA-JJ or AxK [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] or he is on a move (doubt it). I lean towards him having KK. Call or Fold. I think this is close, it probably comes down to how you weight his potential range of hands. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $1-$2 Nut draw on Flop after preflop reraise
I would think that he has QQ or KK. He probably read your raise pre-flop as an AJ-AK raise, and wanted to make sure his QQ/KK took down the pot right there. He might have even folded to a raise over the top. But anyway, to thge flop.
If you truly think your A could be an out, then I think you should call. The nut flush draw takes care of QQ/KK, and so would an A. So if you don't put him on a set or a bizarrely played bluff attempt that yielded 2-pair, calling sounds like a very viable option. The pot is |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $1-$2 Nut draw on Flop after preflop reraise
$64 call to win a $114 pot.
If your Ace outs are clean, then you beat KK, QQ, JJ. If your Ace outs are dirty, then you lose to AA, AK. The all-in looks like a King-high flush or AA-JJ. Let's say we have approximately 10 outs to win... 9 for the flush and about 1 for an Ace out being clean. 10 outs makes a hand by the river ~38% of the time. EV = -64BB(.62) + 114BB(.38) = -39.68 + 43.32 = 3.64BB So call. I have no idea if I did this correctly. Did I? |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $1-$2 Nut draw on Flop after preflop reraise
3 ways he can have J-J, 3 ways he can have A-A, 6 ways he can have K-K, 3 ways he can have Q-Q. If you're comfortable with a K-K read, it's a call. The pot is offering you 1.78 to 1...I call here.
|
|
|