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#1
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Re: Live Game - Incorporating reads
here's an excellent thread over in SSSH that deals with this concept brilliantly.
the underlying concept here is that inflating the pot even when you have neutral equity is -EV when you have to peel again on a whiff. It doesn't apply directly to this turn play, but abstractly I think the thought process has merit. In this example though, betting the turn is only correct to the extent that --button would not have raised or checked through the turn and --button would have called a bet on the river if you had bet the turn, but would not have you had check/called it. |
#2
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Re: Live Game - Incorporating reads
I never said hero should bet the turn. I was simply pointing out that from button's point of view calling a bet instead of raising is no less of a mistake than checking instead of betting. Button's equity is what it is and she misses the same amount of value with either mistake in this hand. I think the turn check by hero is fine here though.
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