Flopped set on danger board

Mez · #1 04-10-2005, 06:04 PM

A bit of background, MP2 has been very loose, I've seen him call large bets to make runner runner draws.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) converter

SB (t2020)
BB (t385)
UTG (t1315)
UTG+1 (t2075)
MP1 (t2590)
MP2 (t1168)
MP3 (t1190)
CO (t2045)
Hero (t2242)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls t50, 2 folds, MP2 calls t50, 2 folds, Hero raises to t125, 2 folds, UTG calls t75, MP2 calls t75.

Flop: (t450) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets t500, UTG calls t500, MP2 folds.

Turn: (t1450) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)

What to do now??

captainzodiac · #2 04-10-2005, 06:46 PM

i think i'd have pushed the flop,although you still made a strong bet,so can't fault that much,i'd have been trying to propect my trips from a flush draw,or 1 card to a str8,wouldn't think you are up against jj or kk,but aq is possible,then you have to hope for the board to pair,think you have a tough decision after that 9 turns,he could even have qq and have made a great draw on you,thinking his hand was best without the str8. this would be a very tough lay down for sure. he had been check/calling you,so you would think he's on a draw,so i think what he does on the turn with the lead bet is critical,if he checks,i think i'd be willing to check also,and re-evaluate on the river,and if he pushes the turn, i'd probably think i'm beat by a str8,and still call since he doesn't have you covered.and hope either you hit your full house,or actually had him beat in the first place.

Mez · #3 04-11-2005, 10:15 AM

Sorry, I should have added that he checked the turn.

joeboe2001 · #4 04-11-2005, 11:31 AM

You have enough in the pot already. At this point your opponent's response to a raise is unlikely to tell you anything more than that he already has a lot of chips in the pot as well. Check and pray!

MonkeeMan · #5 04-11-2005, 12:19 PM

Check behind on the turn. If the board doesn't pair on the river I would check it down or reluctently fold to all but the weakest of bets.

schwza · #6 04-11-2005, 12:51 PM

utg only has 690 left in a 1450 pot. i don't think you can fold. he was just as likely to be on a OESD as a diamond draw. i'd push now so that villain can't see if makes his diamond for free. and you've got plenty of outs if you're behind.

Mez · #7 04-11-2005, 02:20 PM

Thanks for your replies.

I checked behind. In retrospect, I would have pushed if I took the time to think about his chip stack of only 600.

River was a Q to complete a K high straight, opponent bets allin for ~600 more. What's the play now?

schwza · #8 04-11-2005, 02:23 PM

if the flush didn't get there, call. else, fold.

Mez · #9 04-11-2005, 02:29 PM

Good point schwza - forgot no flush got there.