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  #11  
Old 12-21-2005, 01:37 PM
downtown downtown is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 33
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Do a search on +"variance".

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I am doing better and it is not just variance. I wonder how much of it is I have finally figured out SNG situational play and how much is seasonal fluctuations in the competition.

[/ QUOTE ]

This type of thinking is going to make it hard for you when you have a downswing.
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  #12  
Old 12-21-2005, 01:58 PM
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Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

I have had a terrible week. Is this because of a seasonal fluctuation or do I just suck?
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  #13  
Old 12-21-2005, 02:00 PM
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Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

Actually, I think the $55's are very tight lately. I live in Holland so I play pretty early (in US time), and I frequently have tight tables, and bubbles with only push/fold type players.
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  #14  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:03 PM
ebaudry ebaudry is offline
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Posts: 60
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

"I usually play MTTs, but I have been playing SNGs the last couple of weeks and have done well. Am I just learning how to beat the SNGs or are they a lot softer with the holidays? "

They could be softer, but you would never know it due to sample size. I bet they probably are softer, but the sample size you need to prove it is too large to know.

Example: my first 150 games this month my ROI was 65% (up from the usual 13%!). The next 300 games (i.e the last 2 weeks) my ROI has been 1%.

I personally walk around with the assumption that you need to see 2000 games before you can talk about any sort of trend. Further example: in the middle of my breakeven 300, i hit a grandslam (1st in all 4 of my concurrent tables) and my ROI went through the roof, although only temporarily.

GL.
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  #15  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:08 PM
Vuron00 Vuron00 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 84
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ QUOTE ]
Actually, I think the $55's are very tight lately. I live in Holland so I play pretty early (in US time), and I frequently have tight tables, and bubbles with only push/fold type players.

[/ QUOTE ]

I found the same thing last night in the $55's. Still at 6-8 people at levels 5 and 6 let me practice pushing. Not fun.

I decided to play a MTT instead of SnG's last night because I can only 2 table on my laptop.
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  #16  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:14 PM
Freudian Freudian is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 24
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

I think these feelings are more related to how well you run more than anything.

I think over the last two years there have been noticable changes but short term I don't think so. Player numbers are pretty stable and I see no reason why the game should be different.
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  #17  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:45 PM
Hornacek Hornacek is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
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Posts: 43
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ QUOTE ]
Rock garden at the 11s tonight for some reason

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I doubt it.
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  #18  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:47 PM
yvesaint yvesaint is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: sittin on my 6xbuy-in stack
Posts: 690
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ QUOTE ]

I am doing better and it is not just variance. I wonder how much of it is I have finally figured out SNG situational play and how much is seasonal fluctuations in the competition.

[/ QUOTE ]

how many have you played so far
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  #19  
Old 12-21-2005, 03:58 PM
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Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Rock garden at the 11s tonight for some reason

[/ QUOTE ]

I doubt it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Level 4 each time with 8-9 players left. Don't doubt it. I hope tonight is better.
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  #20  
Old 12-21-2005, 04:09 PM
REL18 REL18 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 15
Default Re: Are the SNGs really soft this week?

Its funny that youd think the week before christmas is the softest thats completely backwards only the real serious poker plays were play right now id wait till the 26th to play when everybody has money from christmas if your looking for really soft games
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