99.

[-Skeme-]

[ QUOTE ]
"Protects" your "overpair/set" more.

[/ QUOTE ]

I rarely ever pot flops, with or without a set or overpair. It'll usually kill the action a 2/3rd PSB might give me, and it's nearly always enough to give them incorrect odds.


[ QUOTE ]
Bet the turn and expect a fold. The long hesitation is nearly always extreme weakness. If you happen to be behind, you at least have outs on the turn. On the river a bluff won't have that bonus equity, nor can you expect much of a payoff if you suckout.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is good.


[ QUOTE ]
The general rule of thumb is to consider a bluff if you cannot win by checking, and there is no reason to believe that you can't showdown a winner here.

[/ QUOTE ]

What exactly am I beating here?

[soah]

76, 54, A8, 55, etc

[orange]

I play it the same, except I bet maybe $10 on the river. Most opponents will have a J or worse and lay down.

[wdeadwyler]

I dont like the river bet. Only j10 and jq might fold, and the rest of his jacks just made two pair. Granted he didnt bet the river, so his likelihood of two pair goes way down. The only better hands that fold this river are j10 and jq, and even then, sometimes players like to look you up when you check behind on the turn. He will fold his missed gutshots and then you dont get to see his hand and learn more about him. I dont like this, I check behind and concede the pot to a jack.

[soah]

Bet the turn and expect a fold. The long hesitation is nearly always extreme weakness. If you happen to be behind, you at least have outs on the turn. On the river a bluff won't have that bonus equity, nor can you expect much of a payoff if you suckout.

I don't see much point in betting the river. The general rule of thumb is to consider a bluff if you cannot win by checking, and there is no reason to believe that you can't showdown a winner here.

[amoeba]

i've generally found the flop bet, turn check, river bet to have very very low folding equity.

[xorbie]

This is definitely a board I bet $5-$6 on the flop and $12 or so on the turn if he calls.

I don't get why people bet the turn here, is it a value bet or a bluff? It doesn't seem to do have a good purpose.

[-Skeme-]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't get why people bet the turn here, is it a value bet or a bluff? It doesn't seem to do have a good purpose.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's a draw heavy board. The draws missed, a scare card came, he checked, long hesitation.. take a pick?


[ QUOTE ]
You don't have enough stats to draw any conclusions about his play.


[/ QUOTE ]

Then how do you determine he'll check-call preflop and post with 76, 54, A8 and 55? Just guesses of what a typical SSNL player can have here?


[ QUOTE ]
But if you want to go by that, you say he is aggressive postflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wait, when did I say this? I'm super tired right now so my memory may be a bit hazy. I can't find me saying he's aggressive.

[soah]

You said: "Slightly LP preflop, but Agg postflop."

I would bet the turn because I believe I need to protect my hand, and it greatly reduces the chances that I will face a tough decision on the river.