when 99 gets real ugly

nomadtla · #1 08-13-2005, 04:48 AM

PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls, 2 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Hero raises, SB 3-bets, BB caps, UTG calls $0.40 (All-In), MP2 calls, MP3 folds, Hero calls, SB calls.

Flop: (19.60 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 players, 1 all-in)
SB bets, BB raises, MP2 calls, Hero ?

I think I have about 2.5-3 (2 9's and a bit for the bdsd) outs here. I doubt this flop hit someone given PF action. but PF action also tells me I need to improve to win this. Pot is huge offering 12:1 but it might be 3 bet behind me. What do you guys think?

Fryguy · #2 08-13-2005, 05:03 AM

10.5:1 (is my math right, it's late) isn't enough to continue, especially with the strong likelihood of SB re-raising.

You paid to see the flop to see if you could flop a set, and you didn't, so you are done with this hand.

silkyslim · #3 08-13-2005, 05:03 AM

id fold, you are up against a bigger PP

Fantam · #4 08-13-2005, 08:55 AM

SB and BB might be loose raisers, but with a 3-bet and cap preflop followed by a bet and raise on the flop, it suggests that they were raising with decent hands.

You are not getting good odds to improve your hand, and you correctly notice that the pot could still be raised after you act.

I think that there is a good chance that either SB or BB have a bigger pocket pair than you, and so I would fold in this instance.