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#1
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Re: Sat bubble play. autocall with AK ?
If you call, on average you're probably out of the tournament 50% of the time, and you win a seat the other 50%.
If you fold, i think you could definitely sneak in much more than 50%. You have a big enouogh stack to steal, and you can last a few rounds, and.. you're on pace to make it now anyway. |
#2
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Re: Sat bubble play. autocall with AK ?
This is a case where you can afford to give up +cEV now for +$EV down the road. Pass and let the small stacks bust out. Busting on this bubble would not be good, especially when the end is so close and it's possible that you have better odds of folding into a seat than you do of winning this hand.
If this were a top heavy payout event I would call in this spot, but since the last payout spot is the same as the first it isn't quite as important to accumulate more chips here. You're better off just surviving in this case. |
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