Dallas @ Seattle

TheRover · #1 10-23-2005, 12:01 PM

I got SEA-2.5 early in the week at -130 or -135. It's up to -5 now. Should I go for a middle?

Why is the line moving so much? Is there an injury I haven't heard about? I know Jones is out.

playersare · #2 10-23-2005, 12:16 PM

McNair is officialy out. also, Arizona has a surprisingly good offense (I believe 3rd in the entire NFL for avg. yards). once they figure out where the end zone is and remember to throw only to players wearing red jerseys, they have a potential one touchdown advantage at home.

in terms of the middle, the 3, 4 and 5 combined will push ATS about 15 percent of the time. so to be +EV you want to spend no more than 30 cents for each 200 laid out. since you already put the bulk of your risk on the -2.5 side, you can take +5.5 -101 at pinnacle and be in pretty good shape. other books have flat -110 so it'll be a slight gamble, but still considerable.

#3 10-23-2005, 12:38 PM

So the Titans/Cards game affects the line for the dallas/seattle game?

playersare · #4 10-23-2005, 12:39 PM

[ QUOTE ]
So the Titans/Cards game affects the line for the dallas/seattle game?

[/ QUOTE ]
lol, yeah. where's my coffee

IHateKeithSmart · #5 10-23-2005, 01:52 PM

There seems to be some conflicting word over whether dat nguyen is playing. Also, of course flozell the motel is out.

The hawks have been playing w/o their 2 starting wideouts for a couple of weeks, I hope this isn't the week that it bites us.