Online Poker : 75% of loosers

[WhiteWolf]

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No, do some datamining and you will see for yourself that the 40/60 for ring game players holds up!

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Interesting, what kind of datamining are you talking about? I would think you would need several thousand or tens of thousands of hands on an opponent before you can classify him as a winner/loser with a high degree of confidence, and I'm fairly sure most PT dbs out there do not have a lot of opponents with this large number of hands. My PT db is pretty small, so I'm just speculating here.

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These numbers, roughly, are consistantly reported by everyone.


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I would expect everyone's db shows the same pattern: Lots of opponents with few hands (and a lower probabilty of correctly classifying as a loser/winner), and a very few opponents with lots of hands (and a higher probability of correctly classifying). Thus I would expect that everyone's db would overestimate the number of long term winners amongst their opponents.

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Tournament play, where there are very few winners, brings down the aggregate numbers of poker players making an annual profit.

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This is a good point....