Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > One-table Tournaments

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-27-2005, 07:44 PM
illini43 illini43 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Illinois
Posts: 69
Default Stars $6.50 Turbo: Q9 in the BB facing a push from the button

Here's the hand...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter

UTG (t6300)
Button (t1425)
SB (t4530)
Hero (t1245)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t1400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero...


The button has pushed all-in when either the SB or on the button at least 5 or 6 times prior to this, so I assumed he is capable of pushing with any two here. Is this a spot for me to make a stand and call? I'm getting 1.28:1 odds here and I used PokerStove to calculate my equity against his push with my hand.

Here are the PokerStove results:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 55.3604 % 53.86% 01.50% { Qh9s }
Hand 2: 44.6396 % 43.14% 01.50% { random }

I figured he could be pushing with any two here, so therefore I assumed his range is "random".

Only needing ~44% for this call (determined from pot odds 1.28:1) to be correct (if his range is random) (I'm assuming this math is correct from PokerStove, someone please point out any flaws...) I called getting 55% (output from PokerStove)...

Afer the tournament, I assesed a more narrow range into PokerStove...

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 45.5585 % 43.67% 01.89% { Qh9s }
Hand 2: 54.4415 % 52.56% 01.89% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q5s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, A2o+, K2o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+ }.

With the same pot odds of needing ~44%, having 45.5% (I'm assuming) would still make this call correct (more borderline obviosuly).

I made the call, and am just posting to see if I am doing all of this math correctly and if I am corectly apllying it to real situations.

Any responses are greatly apprectiated!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-27-2005, 07:48 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Stars $6.50 Turbo: Q9 in the BB facing a push from the button

I fold
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-27-2005, 08:06 PM
Jbrochu Jbrochu is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 51
Default Re: Stars $6.50 Turbo: Q9 in the BB facing a push from the button

[ QUOTE ]
I figured he could be pushing with any two here, so therefore I assumed his range is "random".


[/ QUOTE ]

While he would be correct in pushing with any two here most of the time, I don't usually give that much credit to opponents at the low buyins.

Barring any reads to the contrary (such as he's been pushing every-other hand), I would be more likely to assume he's pushing at worse with two paint cards, a small A, or a medium K.

I would fold.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:58 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.