How often do you expect to see AA/KK here?

[AZK]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

UTG+2 ($2207)
<font color="#C00000">MP1 ($1950)</font>
MP2 ($2242.50)
MP3 ($3890)
CO ($1977)
Button ($4767.50)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($4525)</font>
BB ($3917)
UTG ($2446)
UTG+1 ($1048.11)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $10.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 raises to $60</font>, MP1 calls $60, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP3 calls $60, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to $310</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+2 folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $1000</font>

[flawless_victory]

95%ish.

[Lucky]

Always. Gotta muck.

Also, on a sideline; With the action before you, the 310 raise is raising pot, Anyone else maybe raise less because:

1. If reraised big, you'll muck, and thus have saved money
2. You represent the AA looking for a call, and they're more likely to fold, which is what you want them to do?

[mgsimpleton]

[ QUOTE ]
95%ish.

[/ QUOTE ]

given the first cold call i think it's safe to say that's a ridiculous exaggeration.

i don't think you'll be seeing AA/KK more than 92%.

[Roman]

94%ish

Definitely above 90% so easy fold.

[edge]

[ QUOTE ]
Always. Gotta muck.

Also, on a sideline; With the action before you, the 310 raise is raising pot, Anyone else maybe raise less

[/ QUOTE ]

No. If you raise less and the first person calls, it sets off a chain reaction and everyone calls, making a huge pot that you have to push if you hit a pair and most of the time will only be called by a better hand. I wouldn't go less than 300.

[creedofhubris]

Often enough to FOLD.

[Prevaricator]

For the people who say that 90%+ of seeing AA/KK, doesn't that mean you should fold KK too?

[mgsimpleton]

yep.