#1
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Laying odds (side action) on HU games
tex's post made me think of something.
id love to see a sim run that has two players heads up. one where sb is the button and one where bb is the button (i.e. one for HU on a normal site or live and one on party) assume: 1) all sims are run HU limit holdem 2) each simulation is for 100 hands 3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations Player attributes First, assume both players are evenly matched (clearly, here we expect the results to be even on average..i.e. both have wr of 0bb/100 vs. each other) then assume 1 plays slightly better. (P1 has a wr of .25bb/100 vs. player two and P2 has a wr of -.25bb/100 vs. player 1) now what is the mass under the distrubution for P2's wr over lets say 100 hands where P2's win is >0 (i.e. P2 "wins" the HU match of 100 hands) then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100 the purpose of this would be to find a base from which one could generate an estimate of the odds to lay on a HU limit holdem match. i dont have the simulation software for this but i think its generally intersesting. Barron |
#2
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Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
[ QUOTE ]
2) each simulation is for 100 hands [/ QUOTE ] and [ QUOTE ] 3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations [/ QUOTE ] and [ QUOTE ] then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100 [/ QUOTE ] = 600 million simulations at 1 second/hand = 19 years |
#3
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Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
Better get started soon then!
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#4
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Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] 2) each simulation is for 100 hands [/ QUOTE ] and [ QUOTE ] 3) we run 1*10^6 individual simulations [/ QUOTE ] and [ QUOTE ] then conduct the same experiment but make it .5bb/100 to -.5bb/100 and keep going until maybe 1.5bb/100 and -1.5bb/100 [/ QUOTE ] = 600 million simulations at 1 second/hand = 19 years [/ QUOTE ] if he simmed it using a computer built 19 years ago, it would've taken 1/1000th that long |
#5
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Re: Laying odds (side action) on HU games
[ QUOTE ]
= 600 million simulations at 1 second/hand = 19 years [/ QUOTE ] Windows ME? |
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