#1
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Discrepancy in AleoMagus\' Confidence
So I have been fiddling around with some stats and I decided I wanted to check out my confidence interval for my last 350 tournies.
So I dug up this post by AleoMagus and followed his directions to a T. I found that I have an 89.5% confidence that my true win rate is positive. Ok, great. But then I found this confidence calculator, which is also done by AleoMagus. So, I entered in my stats only to find that it gives a 98.3% confidence that my true winrate is positive. Relevant stats would be: total number of tournies: 339 $55 Party Sit and Goes. 1sts: 36 2nds: 55 3rds: 48 What gives? |
#2
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Re: Discrepancy in AleoMagus\' Confidence
I figured out what was wrong. I had stupidly not changed my confidence range to +/- winrate.
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