MLB Division Series, will this trend continue this year??

[duma]

i have been following for the past couple of years with the lines for the division series. what i have found might shock some. there is great value in betting the OVER on all games.

10/6 Hous Atlanta 8o -120 9-3 O
10/7 Hous Atlanta 9.5u -125 2-4 U
10/9 Atlanta Hous 9.5u -120 8-5 O
10/10 Atlanta Hous 9o -130 5-6 O
10/11 Hous Atlanta 9u -135 12-3 O

10/5 LA StL 8.5o -120 8-3 O
10/7 LA StL 9.5u -120 8-3 O
10/9 StL LA 9o -120 0-4 U
10/10 StL LA 9u -115 6-2 U

10/5 Bos Anh 8.5o -120 9-3 O
10/6 Bos Anh 9u -140 8-3 O
10/8 Anh Bos 9.5o -145 8-6 O

10/5 Minn NY 7.5u -110 0-2 U
10/6 Minn NY 9o -120 7-6 O
10/8 NY Minn 9.5o -120 8-4 O
10/9 NY Minn 8.5u -115 6-5 O

these are the results of last year's games. amazing results if you ask me. 12 out of 16 games went over. i am assuming that when the line is something like u-140 that the book is using a 20cent line and the price on the over would be +120. So if you wagered $100 on each game, your profit after all 16 games would have been +$651.87 or 6.52 units. i am taking a shot this year on the overs even though in 2003 the under was hitting more. in 2002 the over hit almost every game. there is a trend that says ever other year the overs will hit big.

in spite of this, i am going to ride this trend on ever game. 6 out of the 8 teams from last year are still playing this year. SD and Chicago are not very offensive prone, but their pitching has been very shaky late in the season. the Yankees and Sox pitching is worse this year than last. Atlanta scores runs now and Roger Clemens of Houston is now back down to earth. just thought id share this info for anyone who wants to hitch a ride on this money train [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[youtalkfunny]

[ QUOTE ]
there is a trend that says ever other year the overs will hit big.

[/ QUOTE ]

An every-other-year trend? Based on a sample size of THREE?

NOW, I've heard everything.

Good luck with your plays. And if you like overs, beware PetCo Park.

[george w of poker]

lol!

I hope not, today I got

Cards/Pads under 7.5

Red/White under 9

Cards/Pads total hits+runs+errors under 24.5 +110

[img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

gl [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[ThomasJoe]

how bout all those boys giving up the juice. That shld make for less homeruns.

[ QUOTE ]
Cards/Pads under 7.5


Cards/Pads total hits+runs+errors under 24.5 +110


[/ QUOTE ]

Off to a grand start [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Next game please [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

[youtalkfunny]

Cards/Pads sails over.
Sox/Sox has gone over in the fourth inning.

I guess I'll have to get me some "over" on the late game.

[ QUOTE ]
Cards/Pads sails over.
Sox/Sox has gone over in the fourth inning.

I guess I'll have to get me some "over" on the late game.

[/ QUOTE ]

This trend is amazing! Im so stupid.... [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[20Five]

good start to this trend for sure!

[NajdorfDefense]

This gets my vote for post of the month - I agreed with your advice and bet 3 units over on all 3 games today and then added 2 more on O/9 Sox-Sox 'cos Clement sucks, I think the trend will continue all ALDS so I'm gonna keep it up. Anway, cashing big today so far and I think there's a chance Mussina gets lit up as well.

Naj