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  #21  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:17 PM
junkmail3 junkmail3 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 249
Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
For those advocating giving looser ranges to BB (and SB) I think that's very wrong. At low BIs, 33s included, people simply do not call very loosely when there chip standing can go from ITM to 4th. BB has a lot to lose here and if you havent been pushing like a maniac up until now, then, this push should be very +EV off the top of my head. I wouldnt put BB on maniac calling range ever here.

I couldnt imagine a hand like KT calling here.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is exactly what I was thinking.

If they call and lose, they're in trouble. They don't want to take that chance right now. Not with a shroty.

I think their calling ranges have to be pretty tight here.
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  #22  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:21 PM
Freudian Freudian is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

I used to fold this pretty much 100% of the time. Now I push this perhaps 2/3. I am convinced it was a bigger leak earlier.

Shorty doesn't even have to double up for you to get in trouble. All he needs is a walk.
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  #23  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:27 PM
durron597 durron597 is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

I think I push this, if I have any read whatsoever that these guys aren't calling loose. SB has to worry that the BB will wake up with a big hand behind, and the BB will be crippled if he calls you and loses. What's your image like?
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  #24  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:31 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
I think I push this, if I have any read whatsoever that these guys aren't calling loose. SB has to worry that the BB will wake up with a big hand behind, and the BB will be crippled if he calls you and loses. What's your image like?

[/ QUOTE ]

Point of the post is not to be tournament specific. I meant it to be more universal.
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  #25  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:32 PM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

In a vacuum I'd push, if that's what you're getting at.
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  #26  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:33 PM
pooh74 pooh74 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 316
Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think I push this, if I have any read whatsoever that these guys aren't calling loose. SB has to worry that the BB will wake up with a big hand behind, and the BB will be crippled if he calls you and loses. What's your image like?

[/ QUOTE ]


Point of the post is not to be tournament specific. I meant it to be more universal.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would universally push here. Its more of a "drip drip", not a leak perhaps.
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  #27  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:34 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
In a vacuum I'd push, if that's what you're getting at.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL, this is a discussion hand. I often think about the bubble in terms of stack management and specifically in terms of relative stack management. This hand was counter-intuitive to me.
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  #28  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:36 PM
durron597 durron597 is offline
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Posts: 6
Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]

Point of the post is not to be tournament specific. I meant it to be more universal.

[/ QUOTE ]

Shorthanded poker is meaningless without reads. This should be obvious, David Sklansky style*.

<font color="white">*(and it's not close, do you see why?)</font>
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  #29  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:40 PM
bluef0x bluef0x is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 34
Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
I fold there. I tend to put most oppenants on either Loose or Maniac setting. Even under Average setting, SNGPT gives this a +0.2 wich is not enough for a push. So only way you can push in this spot is if you put the two big stacks in the blinds behind you on Tight setting. I think that is very unrealistic, expecially in a $33.

[/ QUOTE ]

You sure buddy? Try putting in the correct blinds...

Iffy situation- at first I thought this was an easy push but the more I look at it the more dependent on reads/table image this becomes. If you've been pushing the last few orbits or anyone has said any comments about you pushing- fold easily. If you've been quiet, the shorty has been pushing or getting walks... I push here.
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  #30  
Old 12-02-2005, 02:43 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Default Re: You think this is a leak?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Point of the post is not to be tournament specific. I meant it to be more universal.

[/ QUOTE ]

Shorthanded poker is meaningless without reads. This should be obvious, David Sklansky style*.

<font color="white">*(and it's not close, do you see why?)</font>

[/ QUOTE ]

I understand what you're saying, thus my opinion is that you would say, if my image was _______, then I would act in this fashion, otherwise, I would __________.

I didn't want to talk about, ok, in this situation, I would play it this way because ________.

Overall, mathematically, it's +EV. The magnitude is what through me off. I had not realized this before. In fact, it's so big, I think it's something I need to do more. I agree, if I'm in a war with BB over some trivial suckout earlier, I'm more likely to fold this.
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