|
|
|
|
#1
11-16-2005, 03:50 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Digging out of this hole
Hero is top 10 in chips with 30 players remaining in a $33r for a PCA seat. (one seat only, 2nd = dick)
Hero has ~25k Villian on Button is tourney chip leader w/ ~60k A few others around 20-30k range at the table. Hero has a pretty TAG image. The last hand he played was a flat call of a small all in w/ TT. 3rd player bet the dry side on Kxx flop and hero set 3rd player in. 3rd player folded, all in had AA, hero hits T on river. Just before that, hero called a minraise on the button after two coldcallers w/ QTs. Hit trips on the flop, bet when checked to and everyone folded. Villian has been active in many pots, usually the aggressor. BB = 600 (w/ antes) Hero opens 3x from LMP w/ As9s. Only villian calls on the button. Blinds fold Flop is A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Pot is 4500'ish. Hero bets 3500. Villian makes it 10,200 to go (t6700 more) Hero has around 22k behind if he folds. and...? 
|
|
#3
11-16-2005, 03:57 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
My first thought is just to push because the flop is so draw-heavy. This is a very tough spot.
(Editted out stupid thing.)
|
|
#4
11-16-2005, 03:59 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
[ QUOTE ]
My first thought is just to push because the flop is so draw-heavy. This is a very tough spot. What does everyone think about villain leaving himself with ~1/4 pot? [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Villian on Button is tourney chip leader w/ ~60k [/ QUOTE ]
|
|
#5
11-16-2005, 04:03 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
I'm really confused as to why villian wouldn't push. I let this go. Believe his agression. A9 isn't a strong hand any more.
|
|
#6
11-16-2005, 01:00 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
[ QUOTE ]
I'm really confused as to why villian wouldn't push. I let this go. Believe his agression. A9 isn't a strong hand any more. [/ QUOTE ] what makes you think he should push?
|
|
#7
11-16-2005, 03:08 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm really confused as to why villian wouldn't push. I let this go. Believe his agression. A9 isn't a strong hand any more. [/ QUOTE ] what makes you think he should push? [/ QUOTE ] Misread the info. You said "6500 more" - I thought that that was how much more he had.
|
|
#8
11-16-2005, 06:38 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
I'd push because hero only has to be 35% in the hand because of the overlay. I estimate hero is ~40% in the hand given villain's range which I think is any broadway, any two hearts, j9, any ace. I think its EV+ to play the hand, and hero will have to commit all his chips, so do it while there might be some FE.
given the winner take all payout, there are no better opportunities. Hero shouldn't have opened a9 if he wasn't prepared to go down with the hand against an aggressive villain who is capable/likely to raise the worst hand on an ace high flop.
|
|
#9
11-16-2005, 07:40 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
<u>Hero shouldn't have opened a9 if he wasn't prepared to go down with the hand against an aggressive villain who is capable/likely to raise the worst hand on an ace high flop.</u>
and maybe there is the real problem. Does anyone have an issue w/ opening 3x in our spot from 3 off the button?
|
|
#10
11-16-2005, 04:00 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Digging out of this hole
given your description of villain, i probably move in. i think he has a million different pair+gutshot hands here or draws or what not, and he's going to play them fast. if it were regular MTT payout, i'd fold.
but i'm always the one saying push, so maybe that's a leak.
|
 |
|
|
Hybrid Mode
