river raise?

[kidcolin]

[ QUOTE ]
Do you expect a 22pfr to 3-bet an UTG raise with A8s here? Do you expect AK to cap the turn? These both seem close to me, but I'm not sure they do.

[/ QUOTE ]

Redd, don't take this the wrong way, but a consistent theme in your posts is that you err towards the weak side. You're looking at the stats too much. This is a 4-handed situation, against a 55/22. Not a 28/22. His PFR range is likely much more inconsistent than the typical TAG. A8 and A7 need to be considered, as does 77, an AJ on occassion, or even something zany like KcJc.

I can assure you that this raise is not just slightly +EV or EV neutral.