PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion

[MicroBob]

yeah. i read it too quickly.

my apologies....that $200 bit threw me I guess.

[AngusThermopyle]

From their page:

Each player who answers ALL 40 questions correctly will share a GRAND PRIZE of $1,000,000!

Is [Ain't] the lottery. Each 40 for 40 person gets {a share of } the million.

Edited for my utter lack of reading comprehension. Duh.

Assuming all 70:30 picks:

The Biggie:

40 out of 40 is roughly 1 in a million (think 20 out of 20 on a 50:50 pick, which is 1 in 2 to 20th ). So EV of $1

Weekly:
5 out of 5 is roughly 1 in 6. Pays $100. EV of $16. For 8 weeks. Say $128.

4 out of 5 is roughly 1 in 2.75. Pays $50. EV of $18. For 8 weeks. Say $144.

So, if all the questions are 70:30 (doubtful, since there are only 4 more weeks of regular season [with lopsided games] to go, then 4 weeks of post-season play with less lopsided games), is the promo that bad for someone who normally plays at Party?

[[ hope all my math is right [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] ]]

[grjr]

[ QUOTE ]
From their page:

Each player who answers ALL 40 questions correctly will share a GRAND PRIZE of $1,000,000!

Ain't the lottery. Each 40 for 40 person gets the million.



[/ QUOTE ]

Did you miss the word "share" there? I take that to mean if there are two or more winners (yeah right)then they split the million.

[Sniper]

Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[Action Scott]

[ QUOTE ]
Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
Might be a distinct possibility.

[Losing all]

[ QUOTE ]
Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

That's what I was thinking. Hopefully they'll have some retarted +ev bonuses

[IggyWH]

[ QUOTE ]
What they should have done was make the first 4 questions simple and then make the 5th one something like chosing who would win a certain game.

[/ QUOTE ]

You, sir, are smart. That is a wonderful idea.

Too bad the people at Party aren't that smart themselves. Even make the last question 5 or 6 possible answers would have been a great move.

[w_alloy]

The chance they have to give out the million is less then one percent. Assume 10,000 people answer all 40 (probably way high) and that each person's average answer has a 60% chance of being right (remember people arent always going to pick the best answer, and many questions will be toss ups).

(1-(.6^40))^10,000 is .99999, so assuming i remembered the formula right and my assumptions are close party only has to pay out the million one out of 100,000.

Enjoy!

[arod4276]

you are very very very wrong. the odds of going 40/40 are alot more than 1/ 100,000..40/ 40 IS basically impossible

[wonderwes]

[ QUOTE ]
This game is at the Alamodome here so the Saints will have a pretty big crowd pulling for them for a change. Might be enough to pull the upset.

[/ QUOTE ]

Incorrect. The Monday night game will be played in Atlanta at the Georgia dome.

Be thankful you dont have to pick the point spread.