Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-06-2005, 01:05 AM
UATrewqaz UATrewqaz is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Atlanta
Posts: 276
Default 3 Quads in 1000 hands

I got quads 3 times tonight on 1000 hands even.

what are the odds of getting 3 or more quads in 1000 hands

(any way, I flopped them twice, and caught them on the river once)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-06-2005, 02:22 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

I think this was a 6 handed table in holdem.
Player A raises
I call.

flop came a pair plus another card--he eventually bet and I folded he showed his flopped quads.

Very next hand
I raise
Player A (yeah the same one) calls
I flopped quads but unfortunately didn't get anything from them.

I wonder what are the odds of only two players in consecutive hands one of whom has flopped quads. (first you've got the odds that only 2 get a hand to play... then the odds that one has a pair, then quads, etc etc etc...)

[go ahead and answer the easier one stats gurus [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ]
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-06-2005, 04:46 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

Yesterday I had AQ three times in a row, in the first hand I flopped an A and won, in the second I flopped a Q and won and in the third I flopped AQ and lost all back to a guy who held AA. Can someone calculate the odds for this? [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-06-2005, 07:43 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

i think my most amazing is seeing 4 straight flushes in ~250 hands

i only had one of them, but it went: straight flush, another one right after (!)...but this one was on the board, then 80 hands later saw a royal, and then another 170 hands another one
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-06-2005, 10:30 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

30k hands I have one stright flush. Well, due to the curse of PT it turns out I folded 8 of them...
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-06-2005, 12:54 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sharing a smoke w/negativity
Posts: 524
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

Probability that you'll get 3 or more quads in 1000 hands, including quads on board:

=1-BINOMDIST(3,1000,13 * COMBIN(48,3)/COMBIN(52,7),TRUE) or about 9%.

Alternatively:

=BINOMDIST(996,1000,1 - (13 * COMBIN(48,3)/COMBIN(52,7)),TRUE)
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-06-2005, 12:56 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sharing a smoke w/negativity
Posts: 524
Default Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands

Probability of A-Q three hands in a row is simply:

[16/C(52,2)]^3 or ~.000176%
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:06 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.