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  #1  
Old 08-31-2005, 08:13 PM
Roland19 Roland19 is offline
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Default Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

After two orbits, villian seems to be a reasonable, passive player, but I can't be 100% sure, or even 75% sure, for that matter. I'm in the middle of a huge downswing at 2/4 right now and I'm trying to cut back on making river calls where I"m obviously beat and not continuing in hands where it is readily apparent that I am most likely drawing dead. Please tell me this is standard. I fear that this downswing has turned me into a weak-tight woman.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, CO (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (6 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (5 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, Hero folds...
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2005, 08:16 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

I will refrain from making an immediate judgment, but I will note:

1. The pot is still pretty small.

2. About half the cards in the deck are cards you won't want to see on the river.
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2005, 08:20 PM
pokergrader pokergrader is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

I would fold this if I had a read on MP1 and he was really passive. It is an interesting bet though, and without a read I would call it down not only for value, but to see exactly what he is donking with.

I also am folding this pre-flop, but having some extra money in the pot already helps your cause. QTs and JTs I would play, but in my mind Q9s is pushing it.
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  #4  
Old 08-31-2005, 08:22 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

I think that limping with this preflop in late position behind two limpers and with some dead money is pretty standard. Folding here is probably giving up too much, in my opinion, unless there is significant fear that we'll get raised behind (like on of those behind us is a lag).
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Old 08-31-2005, 08:27 PM
Roland19 Roland19 is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

I would really like to call down here as well, and probably would, if this were heads up. However, I have 2 others yet to act if I call on the turn. I think this turns this to a fold, but I'm not sure if it's close or not.

And also, I don't think preflop is an issue. This pot is going to be multiway, and I have a suited two gap with relatively ok high card value. I usually also play this in EP. If I am wrong in my thinking here, let me know, because I'm looking to plug any and all leaks, and I do seem to play a lot of hands preflop. I have a VPIP of about 20.5.
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  #6  
Old 08-31-2005, 09:18 PM
TimM TimM is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

[ QUOTE ]
I also am folding this pre-flop, but having some extra money in the pot already helps your cause. QTs and JTs I would play, but in my mind Q9s is pushing it.

[/ QUOTE ]

I play Q8s here without hesitation, and I am tight PF.
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  #7  
Old 09-01-2005, 12:18 AM
pokergrader pokergrader is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I also am folding this pre-flop, but having some extra money in the pot already helps your cause. QTs and JTs I would play, but in my mind Q9s is pushing it.

[/ QUOTE ]

I play Q8s here without hesitation, and I am tight PF.

[/ QUOTE ]

Alright, after a few PS simulations, Q8s and Q9s are both slightly +EV in this situation (top 35%, top 40%, random, random). Q7s is slightly -EV in the same simulation, but barely.

I'll give it to you.
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  #8  
Old 09-01-2005, 12:21 AM
sy_or_bust sy_or_bust is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

You can't reliably use applications like PokerStove to solve for correct preflop play, especially not when you have position in a multiway pot.

There are scenarios where a preflop raise would be best play here, but PS isn't going to tell you anything more than showdown equity against some vaguely accurate hand ranges.
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  #9  
Old 09-01-2005, 02:56 AM
Roland19 Roland19 is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

I didn't post this hand so that we could discuss trivial preflop issues. Is this or is this not a sound and routine turn fold. I think this hand warrants some discussion and I would like to hear what more of you think about my play.

Thank you for your time and consideration.
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  #10  
Old 09-01-2005, 03:10 AM
pokergrader pokergrader is offline
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Default Re: Questionable Turn Fold (Sexy)

[ QUOTE ]
I didn't post this hand so that we could discuss trivial preflop issues. Is this or is this not a sound and routine turn fold. I think this hand warrants some discussion and I would like to hear what more of you think about my play.

Thank you for your time and consideration.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is not weak-tight, if that is what you are worried about. Its fine. While it certainly is possible he is just betting with the ace of clubs, it is unlikely. And even if he is betting a club and you are ahead, you are going to have a tough time extracting value on most river cards.
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