Do you value bet the river?

DOTTT · #1 10-21-2005, 11:56 AM

10/20 6 max. utg+1 limps in, sb completes. I check with A9h. I have $4800 and everyone covered.

Flop comes:
78T

sb leads out for $80, I call, utg+1 calls.

Turn A
sb bets $220, I call, utg+1 folds.

River 4
sb checks, make a value bet here?

#2 10-21-2005, 12:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
10/20 6 max. utg+1 limps in, sb completes. I check with A9h. I have $4800 and everyone covered.

Flop comes:
78T

bb leads out for $80, I call, utg+1 calls.

Turn A
sb bets $220, I call, utg+1 folds.

River 4
bb checks, make a value bet here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Change SB to BB on the turn, and include pot sizes / suits in your post please. In general, I am not betting this river, but it would really depend on my read of SB, and my hand range for him on the turn. This changes dramatically for many players.

DOTTT · #3 10-21-2005, 04:33 PM

Well I put him on anything from a set, to two pair to a T. If he has two pair he isnt going to CR this river, and he might just call my river bet with a set, your basic weak tight player.

Ulysses · #4 10-21-2005, 05:53 PM

Simple math problem, then, right?

ObnxNole · #5 10-21-2005, 06:25 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Simple math problem, then, right?

[/ QUOTE ]
What do you mean by this, Diablo?

Big_Jim · #6 10-21-2005, 06:52 PM

He means figure out how many hands will call, then figure out if 50% or more of them are worse than Hero's hand.

If >50% are worse than hero's, bet. If not, check.