KC +1.5 at home vs SD??

[craig r]

When they played in SD, KC was +5.5 according to our DB. If the line was correct, then KC should be a half-point favorite in this game. Once again, that is assuming the line was accurate.

So, SD winning by 8 last game is not a big enough reason to think that they will cover 1.5 on the road.

Also, I don't know what you mean when you say "that was the closest it ever was" (referring to the score). The final score is what matters. A 5.5 point fav covering by 2.5 is not a big deal.

craig