Bellagio 15/30 A3s

jason_t · #1 08-23-2005, 05:16 AM

Preflop: I am MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
LPP tool limps UTG, old LPP limps MP1, I limp, tricky LAG in CO limps, Button limps, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (7.00 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (7 players)
Checked around.

Turn: (3.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (7 players)
Checked to me, I bet, CO raises, folded to BB, BB calls, folded to me, I call.

River: (9.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, I....

What's your plan?

JTG51 · #2 08-23-2005, 05:20 AM

Bet. Getting checked around sucks and getting 3-bet sucks. Betting eliminates both of those things (I'm ignoring the possibility of CO raising and BB 3-betting since that'll happen so rarely).

#3 08-23-2005, 05:55 AM

I guess you will be ahead here the vast majority of times, so I would bet it. I guess KJ, AT and AQ all would have been bet on the flop.
I would expect to see the CO have some T most of the time, but I might be to optimistic?
I normally play 3/6 or 5/10, this is not really my level.

private joker · #4 08-23-2005, 06:26 AM

Bet/call.

aK13 · #5 08-23-2005, 06:57 AM

Bet, call a raise.

shant · #6 08-23-2005, 01:26 PM

Is the turn call automatic? Were you going to showdown unimproved?

jason_t · #7 08-23-2005, 01:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Is the turn call automatic? Were you going to showdown unimproved?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, the turn call is close and I'm unsure about it. I hoped that posters would analyze that decision. I wasn't going to showdown UI.

meep_42 · #8 08-23-2005, 02:06 PM

I'm having trouble putting CO on a hand here. Next to last to act, would he be betting a T? 44+?

I don't think he's raising the turn with the KJ OESD, so unless he got 22-33, Hero has the best hand here, but anything else and he's checking behind on the river.

I say bet/call, maybe he has A2s and thought you were buying the pot - maybe he has a mid-pair, but I don't think he's betting with a lot of his possible hands, but he's calling with some.

-d

Moozh · #9 08-23-2005, 03:53 PM

I think the turn call is close. I'm somewhat torn. At first I figured it was an automatic fold, but then after the flop action, there is a decent chance CO is bluffing. When it's back to you the pot is laying you 8.5:1, so I think you can peel.

The river I think is a clear bet and call a raise. After the flop action, there's no guarantee that anyone has any type of a strong hand. Add that to the overall passiveness on the river of live play and I don't think you can count on CO betting the river for you. Unfortunately, it's also possible you're still dominated by AT, but very unlikely as you'd expect CO to bet it on the flop. The only other hand CO can have that has you beat is a poorly played set of 2s. It's also possible that BB was calling along with KJ, which is the only real drawing hand out there. Thus, if he check-raises you can't like it, but I don't think I could fold with Aces up for one more bet on the river.

brettbrettr · #10 08-23-2005, 04:03 PM

My first thought was the c/r but seems there's too high a probability of this one being checked through. I bet.