Anything off base in this hand?

cowboyzfan · #1 03-03-2005, 05:20 AM

($2-$4)

Hero A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] on the button

mp3 limps, co limps, hero raises call, call

9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]j [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players, 6sbs)

checked to hero who bets, mp3 calls, co check raises, hero calls

5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

co bets, hero folds

Catch of the Day · #2 03-03-2005, 05:32 AM

Yeah, call the turn...

PF we have 7.5sb(2 from each player, BB and SB)

Flop we have 12.5sb

Turn, you are getting 7.25BB to 1 on your call.

You have 6 over-pair outs and 4 outs to the nuts. Lets say that your pair outs are good 1/2 the time. Which makes for 7 outs. There are 46 unknowns so 46/7 cards give you the best hand. You only need 6.5 to 1 to make the call correct. Plus you will gain bets on the river when you hit, but loose none when you miss.

Catch-

cowboyzfan · #3 03-03-2005, 05:35 AM

thanks catch, yes i forgot to include the folded blinds

Catch of the Day · #4 03-03-2005, 05:39 AM

no prob, it ended up being closer than I thought.

Catch-

cowboyzfan · #5 03-03-2005, 05:42 AM

yeah, it felt a bit weak but i guess it comes down to what value the overcards have. and the check raise could mean a straight I guess. But I think you made your case for calling.

cowboyzfan · #6 03-03-2005, 05:49 AM

Uh oh, If I have 7 outs and there are 46 unknowns that means its 39-7 against me hitting an out, so that is 5.5-1 right? that would make it an even easier call.

LSU POKER PIMP · #7 03-03-2005, 05:50 AM

hope im not repeating anything, but isnt it 7.5 small bets. that would make it a close call to call

cowboyzfan · #8 03-03-2005, 05:56 AM

well I am really tired (and not that great at math) but I say it is 7.5 BBs in the pot and my draw to seven outs is 5.5-1.

tetonpete · #9 03-03-2005, 08:39 AM

i gotta think that your overcards might be worth less than 3 out between them because
1. you may already be against a straight.
2. you are more likely to be against 2 pair.
3. You may be reverse dominated.
4. If you spike a K, it may make a straight for one of your opponents.

cowboyzfan · #10 03-03-2005, 12:30 PM

I tend to agree with you. Anyone else care to comment?