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#1
12-31-2005, 04:18 AM
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
It looks to me like it entirely depends on whether you think he can have AA-JJ here. If his range is QQ-TT,88,44,Ah8h, you're 56% to win and you have to call. If you take out the QQ and JJ, you're 10% to win and have to fold. The just-call on the flop and check-raise on the turn sure would be weird for QQ and JJ, they look a lot more like a set to me. If he was more of a donk I'd be inclined to add in some "wtf" hands (where you call and he turns over AK or 99 and you go "wtf") which give you a free extra 10% chance of winning, but his stats don't look like that.
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#2
12-31-2005, 05:43 AM
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Re: Bottom set facing all in
My gut tells me that it is a monster fold. You "announced" a hand on the flop. The turn bet is in line with the flop. Villian must be aware that you might hold a set and that you would fold overpairs and two pair to a all in. I would not have managed to fold in the head of the battle but from a distance...
Chris.
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