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  #1  
Old 07-09-2005, 04:14 PM
OrianasDaad OrianasDaad is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 476
Default Weird observation.

I've been learning some of the math behind poker, and came across something wierd.

A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] vs K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
board: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

The KQ hand has exactly six outs to become the best hand. No more, no less. That's 1-6.66... or a 13.04% chance to improve.

When using two different odds calculators, they both give the chance to win for the KQ hand at 13.64%, 1-6.33 odds.

Where does the extra 1/3 an out come from, or did I do my math wrong somewhere? I know, it's minutae, but I'm just curious.
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  #2  
Old 07-09-2005, 04:23 PM
MickeyHoldem MickeyHoldem is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 26
Default Re: Weird observation.

You're a little off in your calculations....
...indeed you have 6 outs.... but there are 44 (not 46) unknown cards left.

your calculation...
= 6/46 = 0.13043

correct calculation...
= 6/44 = 0.13636
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  #3  
Old 07-10-2005, 02:41 AM
OrianasDaad OrianasDaad is offline
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Posts: 476
Default Re: Weird observation.

Doh! Thanks.
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  #4  
Old 07-10-2005, 08:55 PM
Poker60181 Poker60181 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 31
Default Re: Weird observation.

haha. this post made me laugh. thanks
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