Party 10/20: TT river bluff?

bdk3clash · #1 11-30-2005, 12:48 AM

Opponent here is tight, aggressive, seems pretty straightforward, hasn't gotten out of line, etc. etc. His stats are 21/14/1.7. Basically he's the type of non-producer you don't particularly mind having in a game with you.

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: bdk3clash is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG raises, 1 fold, bdk3clash 3-bets, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, bdk3clash bets, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, bdk3clash bets, UTG calls.

River: (6.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, bdk3clash...

ddubois · #2 11-30-2005, 12:56 AM

Why, so he can fold his smaller pocker pair? Because he's not folding any ace.

cokehead · #3 11-30-2005, 12:58 AM

I think he calls with A high here so the only hands that he's going to fold are hands that you beat anyway. I check behind.

Lmn55d · #4 11-30-2005, 12:59 AM

that's not a bad spot to check behind on the turn. AJ has 3 outs and there are only 3 combos of AT. If checkraised you could have up to 5 outs. If it's a guy who will call you down with lower pocket pairs I like the bet.

As for the river, I don't like a bet. I think his most likely hands are a low pocket pair which you beat, a hand like AJ/AT that might even call, or a queen that is afraid of the king.

EDIT: Actually there are 8 combos of AT that have 7 outs so I wouldn't consider a turn check. I'm dumb.

Entity · #5 11-30-2005, 04:05 AM

[ QUOTE ]
that's not a bad spot to check behind on the turn. AJ has 3 outs and there are only 3 combos of AT. If checkraised you could have up to 5 outs. If it's a guy who will call you down with lower pocket pairs I like the bet.

As for the river, I don't like a bet. I think his most likely hands are a low pocket pair which you beat, a hand like AJ/AT that might even call, or a queen that is afraid of the king.

EDIT: Actually there are 8 combos of AT that have 7 outs so I wouldn't consider a turn check. I'm dumb.

[/ QUOTE ]

Also, AJ has 6 outs.

Rob

mscags · #6 11-30-2005, 04:25 AM

I don't like a bet here, I think he will look you up w Ace high a fair majority of the time

#7 11-30-2005, 04:49 AM

Check behind, you're not knocking out anything he has you beat on.

Lmn55d · #8 11-30-2005, 12:45 PM

yup, nice catch. goddamn hidden outs. Oh, AT actually has 10 outs. Checking would suck bad!

TStoneMBD · #9 11-30-2005, 12:55 PM

definitely check it. only hand that folds is JJ and no worse hands call. ace high is definitely calling.