AJ with 2 pair on flop

tardigrade · #1 07-23-2004, 10:26 PM

I had been at this table for less then a full cycle, so no good reads yet. If I had any impression, it's that the table was typical for a loose Party .5/1.

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50.
2 folds, UTG+2 calls, 1 fold, MP2 (poster) checks, Hero raises, CO 3-bets, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP2 folds, Hero calls.

There's only one player who VP$IP ahead of me, and I've been well trained by now to raise AJ. I really expect to buy the button, but am dismayed to see all of the cold-callers to my left, and more dismayed to see I'll be first to act. If the flop hits me, this hand could be tricky.

Flop: (12.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, CO calls, Button calls.

Or not.

Turn: (7.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, CO calls, Button raises, Hero 3-bets, CO folds, Button caps, Hero calls.

Button comes alive when the second five hits. But who coldcalls two with a five in his hand? I have no read on this guy, but I feel I'm getting played with. My hand is very strong, so I 3-bet and get ready to calldown when it's capped.

River: (16.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero raises, Button 3-bets, Hero caps, Button calls.

Or not. I take a couple of seconds to think. If he really has a hand, then the second ace gave him a lower full house and he'll give me all the action I want. If he was playing with me, he'll fold to a bet with the second ace showing and bluff on the end (I hope) when checked to. I check to him and get just the action I was looking for.

Final Pot: 24.75 BB
Main Pot: 24.75 BB, between Hero and Button.

Did I put myself at too much risk with the turn and river play, or did I do the right thing?

Sent · #2 07-23-2004, 10:34 PM

Seems like the button has a 5 or slowplaying JJ, the river cap is nice since not many hands have you beat.

-Sent

bdk3clash · #3 07-23-2004, 10:37 PM

I'm going to be very specific and put the button on exactly AK.

tardigrade · #4 07-23-2004, 10:48 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I'm going to be very specific and put the button on exactly AK.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're right that that's the most likely hand. I think a distant second most likely (odds-wise) is JJ. When the second 5 comes out, AK, who figures to have the best hand, decides to make a play. I 3-bet him back and CO folds, which is what he wanted anyway. I wouldn't have open-raised with a 5 in my hand, so he caps for value. Maybe he's worried I have AJ or JJ, but he's aggressive, and his odds are good. When he fills up on the river, he has little left to fear and boldly plays into the trap.

Unfortunately, (edit: well, unfortunately for the analysis, extremely fortunately for ME) that's not what he had. He didn't have JJ, either.

Q5o.

Yes, Q5o.

I love the micros.

bdk3clash · #5 07-23-2004, 11:15 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Q5o

[/ QUOTE ]

That was my second guess.

tardigrade · #6 07-23-2004, 11:41 PM

I've revised the hand playback from the standpoint of the fish, with commentary added.

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50.
2 folds, UTG+2 calls, 1 fold, MP2 (poster) checks, MP3 raises, CO 3-bets, Hero calls, 2 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 calls.

This pot is getting pretty big. I'd like to win it! I'm on the button, which is the best spot, and I have a queen, so calling is a no-brainer.

Flop: (12.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
MP3 bets, CO calls, Hero calls.

On the flop, not only do I have a pair with a high kicker, I almost have a straight. My chances are pretty good, so I have to call.

Turn: (7.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
MP3 bets, CO calls, Hero raises, MP3 3-bets, CO folds, Hero caps, MP3 calls.

Yes, now I'm going to win! This idiot is even raising me back! What an ass-tard! I might even get my straight still and even beat him better.

River: (16.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets, MP3 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP3 caps, Hero calls.

Oh, yeah! I have a full house! I'm unbeatable! This is going to be the biggest pot I've won all night!

Final Pot: 24.75 BB
Main Pot: 24.75 BB, between MP3 and Hero.

Insert lots of cursing and complaining about how you always get "sucked out" on the river by bad players who should have known better than to call your raises in the first place.