Poll on Market Movements

I'd like to ask everyone what they think the probability is that


1) The market approaches the September low of the SP 500 but does not go below. The SP500 is currently around 1100 and the September 21 low was 944.75.


2) The market goes below 944.75 and if so how low could it possibly go.


3) We are in a bull market and this recent downturn is a correction in a bull.


4) The market continues trading in a narrow 100-150 point range for a long time (over 1 year)