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#1
09-16-2005, 02:27 PM
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3 betting turn out of position without a river plan
8 handed online game
The BB is unknown. I open raise in the sb with 66, bb calls. The flop is 558, two hearts. I bet, bb calls quickly. Turn is an offsuit 3. I bet, bb raises very quickly. Due to the speed at which he acted, and the circumstances, I feel like my pair is probably good a great portion of the time. Calling down is an easy way to play it. However, he could easy have some stupid overcards that I would be happy to have him fold for 1 more bet. Anyone prefer a 3 bet? If so, what do you do on the river when he calls? 
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#2
09-16-2005, 02:41 PM
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Re: 3 betting turn out of position without a river plan
the 3 bet is a mistake. it is either a 0 EV bet for you (he has overcards and is getting roughly the correct odds to call or fold). or very expensive (he already has you beat).
plus you lose a bet on the river from induced bluffs.
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#3
09-16-2005, 02:47 PM
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Re: 3 betting turn out of position without a river plan
I really don't see how this would be a 0 EV bet for hero. Villain is put to a 0 EV decision, but doesn't the EV of the bet for hero depend solely on his equity. In other words, if his equity is greater than 50% it is a +EV bet. Maybe I'm missing something....
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#4
09-16-2005, 02:54 PM
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Re: 3 betting turn out of position without a river plan
That's a very enlightening perspective, Stox. Lmn, is, of course, correct in that the EV of the proposition bet is positive. It is the old flush draw question: the player on the flush draw is getting wonderful odds (++EV)to call, but the player with best equity is always correct to bet. However, in this situation, Stox's further evaluation is (IMO) correct. You're either costing yourself quite a bit or getting the same bet you'd get on his river bluff.
CSC
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